Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-85% and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops, while daytime highs near 25-27°C reflect residual warmth from recent conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 20-22°C outcomes holding the strongest implied probabilities amid minor model disagreements on shower timing and exact cloud thickness. Historical September lows in the region average near 22°C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler values without a strong cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
26°C or higher 65%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
33%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
65%
26°C or higher 65%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
34%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-85% and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops, while daytime highs near 25-27°C reflect residual warmth from recent conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 20-22°C outcomes holding the strongest implied probabilities amid minor model disagreements on shower timing and exact cloud thickness. Historical September lows in the region average near 22°C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler values without a strong cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-85% and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops, while daytime highs near 25-27°C reflect residual warmth from recent conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 20-22°C outcomes holding the strongest implied probabilities amid minor model disagreements on shower timing and exact cloud thickness. Historical September lows in the region average near 22°C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler values without a strong cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-85% and light northerly winds further moderate overnight drops, while daytime highs near 25-27°C reflect residual warmth from recent conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 20-22°C outcomes holding the strongest implied probabilities amid minor model disagreements on shower timing and exact cloud thickness. Historical September lows in the region average near 22°C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler values without a strong cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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