**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northerly to northwesterly winds of force 4–5.** This reflects the gradual influence of drier continental air moderating the prior low-pressure trough, which has produced unsettled conditions and occasional thunderstorms through early September. Multiple numerical models show nocturnal cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and residual cloud cover, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the forecast range. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in wind speed, timing of any showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 27°C or higher remain lower given the expected onshore flow. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs on September 1 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
19%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C or higher
23%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$205 Vol.
14%
23°C
$62 Vol.
19%
24°C
$98 Vol.
14%
25°C
$7 Vol.
39%
26°C
$82 Vol.
33%
27°C
$13 Vol.
19%
28°C
$120 Vol.
5%
29°C
$40 Vol.
19%
30°C
$20 Vol.
21%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northerly to northwesterly winds of force 4–5.** This reflects the gradual influence of drier continental air moderating the prior low-pressure trough, which has produced unsettled conditions and occasional thunderstorms through early September. Multiple numerical models show nocturnal cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and residual cloud cover, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the forecast range. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in wind speed, timing of any showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 27°C or higher remain lower given the expected onshore flow. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs on September 1 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$707End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northerly to northwesterly winds of force 4–5.** This reflects the gradual influence of drier continental air moderating the prior low-pressure trough, which has produced unsettled conditions and occasional thunderstorms through early September. Multiple numerical models show nocturnal cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and residual cloud cover, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the forecast range. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in wind speed, timing of any showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 27°C or higher remain lower given the expected onshore flow. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs on September 1 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$707End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northerly to northwesterly winds of force 4–5.** This reflects the gradual influence of drier continental air moderating the prior low-pressure trough, which has produced unsettled conditions and occasional thunderstorms through early September. Multiple numerical models show nocturnal cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and residual cloud cover, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the forecast range. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in wind speed, timing of any showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 27°C or higher remain lower given the expected onshore flow. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs on September 1 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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