Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project an overnight low near 80–82°F during the early hours of August 27, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could limit radiational cooling. Multiple model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating tight clustering around the 80–85°F range and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–32%. Historical August climatology for the area typically features lows in the mid- to upper 70s, but persistent warmth and moisture this week support the current trader consensus on a slightly elevated minimum. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 27?
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
5%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
$33 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$27 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$37 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project an overnight low near 80–82°F during the early hours of August 27, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could limit radiational cooling. Multiple model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating tight clustering around the 80–85°F range and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–32%. Historical August climatology for the area typically features lows in the mid- to upper 70s, but persistent warmth and moisture this week support the current trader consensus on a slightly elevated minimum. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$166End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project an overnight low near 80–82°F during the early hours of August 27, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could limit radiational cooling. Multiple model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating tight clustering around the 80–85°F range and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–32%. Historical August climatology for the area typically features lows in the mid- to upper 70s, but persistent warmth and moisture this week support the current trader consensus on a slightly elevated minimum. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$166End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project an overnight low near 80–82°F during the early hours of August 27, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could limit radiational cooling. Multiple model runs show minor variations in cloud cover and precipitation timing, creating tight clustering around the 80–85°F range and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–32%. Historical August climatology for the area typically features lows in the mid- to upper 70s, but persistent warmth and moisture this week support the current trader consensus on a slightly elevated minimum. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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