Current numerical weather models and observational data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 15 will likely range from 29–32°C, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal location, persistent high humidity (often 50–70% overnight), and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the late hot season. Recent forecasts from multiple sources show early-morning lows near 30–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below 28°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. Trader emphasis on the 26°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability reflects model spread and the possibility of enhanced cooling from increased cloud cover or slight wind changes, while higher bins around 31–33°C capture the consensus central tendency; resolution will hinge on official station readings meeting exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 15?
26°C or below 96%
31°C 45%
32°C 22%
28°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
96%
27°C
17%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
17%
35°C
17%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 96%
31°C 45%
32°C 22%
28°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
96%
27°C
$10 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$20 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$10 Vol.
17%
35°C
$10 Vol.
17%
36°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and observational data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 15 will likely range from 29–32°C, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal location, persistent high humidity (often 50–70% overnight), and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the late hot season. Recent forecasts from multiple sources show early-morning lows near 30–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below 28°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. Trader emphasis on the 26°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability reflects model spread and the possibility of enhanced cooling from increased cloud cover or slight wind changes, while higher bins around 31–33°C capture the consensus central tendency; resolution will hinge on official station readings meeting exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and observational data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 15 will likely range from 29–32°C, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal location, persistent high humidity (often 50–70% overnight), and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the late hot season. Recent forecasts from multiple sources show early-morning lows near 30–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below 28°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. Trader emphasis on the 26°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability reflects model spread and the possibility of enhanced cooling from increased cloud cover or slight wind changes, while higher bins around 31–33°C capture the consensus central tendency; resolution will hinge on official station readings meeting exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models and observational data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 15 will likely range from 29–32°C, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal location, persistent high humidity (often 50–70% overnight), and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the late hot season. Recent forecasts from multiple sources show early-morning lows near 30–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below 28°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. Trader emphasis on the 26°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability reflects model spread and the possibility of enhanced cooling from increased cloud cover or slight wind changes, while higher bins around 31–33°C capture the consensus central tendency; resolution will hinge on official station readings meeting exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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