Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Jinan’s overnight low for September 7 will likely fall in the 20–23 °C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and continued warm advection ahead of an approaching frontal system. This setup favors the higher end of the temperature distribution, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cooling until Tuesday. Model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities for 22 °C or higher nearly even with lower outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 7?
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
21°C 50%
13°C 48%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
48%
21°C
50%
22°C or higher
92%
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
21°C 50%
13°C 48%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
48%
21°C
50%
22°C or higher
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Jinan’s overnight low for September 7 will likely fall in the 20–23 °C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and continued warm advection ahead of an approaching frontal system. This setup favors the higher end of the temperature distribution, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cooling until Tuesday. Model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities for 22 °C or higher nearly even with lower outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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