Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 95%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
21%
9°C
24%
10°C
27%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
95%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 95%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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