Recent KMA aerodrome forecasts and ensemble models for Incheon International Airport indicate an overnight low near 22–25 °C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with clearer late-summer nights, keeping the minimum temperature clustered around the 23–24 °C outcomes that currently lead trader probabilities. Variations among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in the timing and coverage of showers and the depth of the boundary layer—account for the tight spread between 22 °C and 25 °C; stronger or more prolonged clearing would favor the lower end, while thicker low-level moisture would support the higher readings. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 46%
23°C 33%
25°C 17%
22°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
15%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
17%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 46%
23°C 33%
25°C 17%
22°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
1%
20°C
$34 Vol.
2%
21°C
$40 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$4 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,524 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA aerodrome forecasts and ensemble models for Incheon International Airport indicate an overnight low near 22–25 °C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with clearer late-summer nights, keeping the minimum temperature clustered around the 23–24 °C outcomes that currently lead trader probabilities. Variations among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in the timing and coverage of showers and the depth of the boundary layer—account for the tight spread between 22 °C and 25 °C; stronger or more prolonged clearing would favor the lower end, while thicker low-level moisture would support the higher readings. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,632End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA aerodrome forecasts and ensemble models for Incheon International Airport indicate an overnight low near 22–25 °C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with clearer late-summer nights, keeping the minimum temperature clustered around the 23–24 °C outcomes that currently lead trader probabilities. Variations among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in the timing and coverage of showers and the depth of the boundary layer—account for the tight spread between 22 °C and 25 °C; stronger or more prolonged clearing would favor the lower end, while thicker low-level moisture would support the higher readings. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,632End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA aerodrome forecasts and ensemble models for Incheon International Airport indicate an overnight low near 22–25 °C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with clearer late-summer nights, keeping the minimum temperature clustered around the 23–24 °C outcomes that currently lead trader probabilities. Variations among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in the timing and coverage of showers and the depth of the boundary layer—account for the tight spread between 22 °C and 25 °C; stronger or more prolonged clearing would favor the lower end, while thicker low-level moisture would support the higher readings. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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