Current forecast consensus from models and official sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration points to an overnight low of 24–25°C in Incheon on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average daily minima hover around 22.9°C but rise under overcast, moist conditions typical of the waning monsoon season. Recent data show stable pressure patterns and scattered showers suppressing temperature drops, keeping the distribution centered on 24–25°C while assigning low probability to outliers below 23°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 47%
24°C 36%
26°C 13%
23°C 6%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
36%
25°C
47%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 47%
24°C 36%
26°C 13%
23°C 6%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
36%
25°C
47%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models and official sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration points to an overnight low of 24–25°C in Incheon on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average daily minima hover around 22.9°C but rise under overcast, moist conditions typical of the waning monsoon season. Recent data show stable pressure patterns and scattered showers suppressing temperature drops, keeping the distribution centered on 24–25°C while assigning low probability to outliers below 23°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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