Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate small rain or showers in Shanghai on August 28, with expected lows of 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover and easterly flow influenced by Typhoon Saudel. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime maxima, elevating overnight minima above seasonal norms of ~24–26°C. High humidity and scattered precipitation further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 27°C (51%) and 28°C (37%). Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 10%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 10%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$63 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
51%
28°C
$6 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$37 Vol.
4%
31°C
$22 Vol.
1%
32°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate small rain or showers in Shanghai on August 28, with expected lows of 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover and easterly flow influenced by Typhoon Saudel. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime maxima, elevating overnight minima above seasonal norms of ~24–26°C. High humidity and scattered precipitation further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 27°C (51%) and 28°C (37%). Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$214End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate small rain or showers in Shanghai on August 28, with expected lows of 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover and easterly flow influenced by Typhoon Saudel. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime maxima, elevating overnight minima above seasonal norms of ~24–26°C. High humidity and scattered precipitation further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 27°C (51%) and 28°C (37%). Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$214End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate small rain or showers in Shanghai on August 28, with expected lows of 27–28°C amid persistent cloud cover and easterly flow influenced by Typhoon Saudel. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime maxima, elevating overnight minima above seasonal norms of ~24–26°C. High humidity and scattered precipitation further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 27°C (51%) and 28°C (37%). Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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