Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
25°C 28%
27°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
-
23°C
1%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
25°C 28%
27°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$99 Vol.
-
23°C
$103 Vol.
1%
24°C
$9 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$1 Vol.
26%
28°C
$1 Vol.
28%
29°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,162End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,162End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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