Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical late-August Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and daytime maxima centered near 31–32 °C. Sea-surface temperatures around 28–29 °C and a modest sea-breeze circulation are expected to cap afternoon readings near this range rather than allowing stronger inland heating. Historical climatology shows August daily highs averaging 30–32 °C, with 33 °C occurring on only a minority of days absent a pronounced heat-stress episode. Current official guidance contains no elevated heat warnings specific to the Tel Aviv coast for 22 August, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes while leaving limited room for a 34 °C spike should insolation or wind patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
32°C 59%
33°C 40%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
$10,306 Vol.
$10,306 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
59%
33°C
40%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 40%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
$10,306 Vol.
$10,306 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
59%
33°C
40%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical late-August Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and daytime maxima centered near 31–32 °C. Sea-surface temperatures around 28–29 °C and a modest sea-breeze circulation are expected to cap afternoon readings near this range rather than allowing stronger inland heating. Historical climatology shows August daily highs averaging 30–32 °C, with 33 °C occurring on only a minority of days absent a pronounced heat-stress episode. Current official guidance contains no elevated heat warnings specific to the Tel Aviv coast for 22 August, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes while leaving limited room for a 34 °C spike should insolation or wind patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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