Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating faces a Democratic primary challenger but holds a strong position in Massachusetts's 9th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index advantage and received Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with Keating's 56.4% win in 2024. Massachusetts has elected only Democrats to its House delegation since 1994, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent gains sufficient to alter the outcome. A Republican primary candidate has filed, yet no developments have shifted the district's underlying lean or introduced competitive dynamics that would elevate the minority party's prospects. Late-cycle national trends, primary results, or unusual turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,547 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$1,357 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating faces a Democratic primary challenger but holds a strong position in Massachusetts's 9th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index advantage and received Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with Keating's 56.4% win in 2024. Massachusetts has elected only Democrats to its House delegation since 1994, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent gains sufficient to alter the outcome. A Republican primary candidate has filed, yet no developments have shifted the district's underlying lean or introduced competitive dynamics that would elevate the minority party's prospects. Late-cycle national trends, primary results, or unusual turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$4,904Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating faces a Democratic primary challenger but holds a strong position in Massachusetts's 9th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index advantage and received Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with Keating's 56.4% win in 2024. Massachusetts has elected only Democrats to its House delegation since 1994, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent gains sufficient to alter the outcome. A Republican primary candidate has filed, yet no developments have shifted the district's underlying lean or introduced competitive dynamics that would elevate the minority party's prospects. Late-cycle national trends, primary results, or unusual turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,904Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating faces a Democratic primary challenger but holds a strong position in Massachusetts's 9th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index advantage and received Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with Keating's 56.4% win in 2024. Massachusetts has elected only Democrats to its House delegation since 1994, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent gains sufficient to alter the outcome. A Republican primary candidate has filed, yet no developments have shifted the district's underlying lean or introduced competitive dynamics that would elevate the minority party's prospects. Late-cycle national trends, primary results, or unusual turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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