The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,439 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,357 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$4,796结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,796结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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