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Politics·Canada

Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Frank Scarpitti

Frank Scarpitti

$389 Vol.

92%

icon for Martin Ross

Martin Ross

$160 Vol.

8%

The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 municipal election, reflecting his consistent record of re-election with wide margins in prior cycles, including over 64 percent in 2022. Candidate registration closed on August 21 with certification shortly afterward, confirming a limited field that includes challengers Martin Ross—who drew attention for prior disputes over a backyard rink—and Stephen Edgell, alongside others with minimal established profiles or resources. Recent city-led initiatives, such as hosting the inaugural Ontario Honda Dealers IndyCar event in August 2026, have reinforced perceptions of effective local leadership amid ongoing priorities like infrastructure, housing affordability, and transit. With voting set for October 16–26, the market pricing aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Ontario municipal contests, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected campaign developments, turnout variations, or late-breaking issues in the final weeks.

The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Volume
$549
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 municipal election, reflecting his consistent record of re-election with wide margins in prior cycles, including over 64 percent in 2022. Candidate registration closed on August 21 with certification shortly afterward, confirming a limited field that includes challengers Martin Ross—who drew attention for prior disputes over a backyard rink—and Stephen Edgell, alongside others with minimal established profiles or resources. Recent city-led initiatives, such as hosting the inaugural Ontario Honda Dealers IndyCar event in August 2026, have reinforced perceptions of effective local leadership amid ongoing priorities like infrastructure, housing affordability, and transit. With voting set for October 16–26, the market pricing aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Ontario municipal contests, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected campaign developments, turnout variations, or late-breaking issues in the final weeks.

The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Volume
$549
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Frank Scarpitti" at 92%, followed by "Martin Ross" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Frank Scarpitti" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Martin Ross" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.