U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has consolidated Democratic support behind a proven statewide winner, producing the market’s strong implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Tim Walz’s January 2026 decision not to seek a third term created the vacancy, yet early polling shows Klobuchar leading Republican contenders by double digits, consistent with the state’s D+3 partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2002. On the Republican side, a divided primary featuring House Speaker Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls (who secured the party endorsement in May), and Mike Lindell has prevented any candidate from emerging with broad appeal or fundraising parity. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A late scandal, sustained economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for such shifts before the November election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,566 Vol.
$59,566 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$59,566 Vol.
$59,566 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$27,255 Vol.
94%
共和党
$32,311 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has consolidated Democratic support behind a proven statewide winner, producing the market’s strong implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Tim Walz’s January 2026 decision not to seek a third term created the vacancy, yet early polling shows Klobuchar leading Republican contenders by double digits, consistent with the state’s D+3 partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2002. On the Republican side, a divided primary featuring House Speaker Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls (who secured the party endorsement in May), and Mike Lindell has prevented any candidate from emerging with broad appeal or fundraising parity. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A late scandal, sustained economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for such shifts before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$59,566終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has consolidated Democratic support behind a proven statewide winner, producing the market’s strong implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Tim Walz’s January 2026 decision not to seek a third term created the vacancy, yet early polling shows Klobuchar leading Republican contenders by double digits, consistent with the state’s D+3 partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2002. On the Republican side, a divided primary featuring House Speaker Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls (who secured the party endorsement in May), and Mike Lindell has prevented any candidate from emerging with broad appeal or fundraising parity. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A late scandal, sustained economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for such shifts before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$59,566終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has consolidated Democratic support behind a proven statewide winner, producing the market’s strong implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Tim Walz’s January 2026 decision not to seek a third term created the vacancy, yet early polling shows Klobuchar leading Republican contenders by double digits, consistent with the state’s D+3 partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2002. On the Republican side, a divided primary featuring House Speaker Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls (who secured the party endorsement in May), and Mike Lindell has prevented any candidate from emerging with broad appeal or fundraising parity. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A late scandal, sustained economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for such shifts before the November election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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