Amy Klobuchar's strong positioning as the Democratic nominee for the open Minnesota governorship has driven trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tim Walz withdrew in January 2026 amid a welfare fraud investigation and related scrutiny, clearing the path for the U.S. senator who has won statewide races by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, supported by general election polls showing Klobuchar ahead of Republican primary contenders by 10-15 points or more. The August 11 Republican primary remains the key near-term variable, with candidates including Lisa Demuth and others competing in a fragmented field. Late developments such as turnout shifts in swing areas or unexpected candidate controversies could narrow the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$63,374 Vol.
$63,374 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
5%
$63,374 Vol.
$63,374 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$28,118 Vol.
94%
Republican
$35,256 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's strong positioning as the Democratic nominee for the open Minnesota governorship has driven trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tim Walz withdrew in January 2026 amid a welfare fraud investigation and related scrutiny, clearing the path for the U.S. senator who has won statewide races by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, supported by general election polls showing Klobuchar ahead of Republican primary contenders by 10-15 points or more. The August 11 Republican primary remains the key near-term variable, with candidates including Lisa Demuth and others competing in a fragmented field. Late developments such as turnout shifts in swing areas or unexpected candidate controversies could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$63,374End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's strong positioning as the Democratic nominee for the open Minnesota governorship has driven trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tim Walz withdrew in January 2026 amid a welfare fraud investigation and related scrutiny, clearing the path for the U.S. senator who has won statewide races by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, supported by general election polls showing Klobuchar ahead of Republican primary contenders by 10-15 points or more. The August 11 Republican primary remains the key near-term variable, with candidates including Lisa Demuth and others competing in a fragmented field. Late developments such as turnout shifts in swing areas or unexpected candidate controversies could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$63,374End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar's strong positioning as the Democratic nominee for the open Minnesota governorship has driven trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tim Walz withdrew in January 2026 amid a welfare fraud investigation and related scrutiny, clearing the path for the U.S. senator who has won statewide races by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, supported by general election polls showing Klobuchar ahead of Republican primary contenders by 10-15 points or more. The August 11 Republican primary remains the key near-term variable, with candidates including Lisa Demuth and others competing in a fragmented field. Late developments such as turnout shifts in swing areas or unexpected candidate controversies could narrow the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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