Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
Politics·Midterms

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

icon for New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
Politics·Midterms

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bruce Blakeman (R)

Bruce Blakeman (R)

$350 Vol.

87%

icon for Kathy Hochul (D)

Kathy Hochul (D)

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Volume
$350
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Volume
$350
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.

Related

icon for Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?

Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?

44%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?

48%
icon for Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?

56%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bruce Blakeman (R)" at 87%, followed by "Kathy Hochul (D)" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner" is "Bruce Blakeman (R)" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kathy Hochul (D)" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.