Recent Easter weekend storms drove U.S. flight delays above 5,600 on April 4-5, per FlightAware data, amid high holiday volumes and air traffic control constraints, but volumes have since normalized toward 4,000-5,000 daily on calmer days like early this week. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing all delay buckets equally at 40.5¢ as spring weather forecasts remain uncertain for Friday, April 11—with FAA anticipating potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus possible ground stops at MIA/FLL. Shifts could emerge from refined weather models, ATC staffing updates, or airline alerts, tipping toward lower counts if clear skies prevail or higher amid disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNumber of US Flights Delayed April 11?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?
<4,000 41%
4,000-4,500 24%
4,500-5,000 24%
5,000-5,500 24%
NEW
NEW
Apr 11, 2026
<4,000
41%
4,000-4,500
24%
4,500-5,000
24%
5,000-5,500
24%
5,500-6,000
24%
6,000-6,500
24%
6,500-7,000
24%
>7,000
24%
<4,000 41%
4,000-4,500 24%
4,500-5,000 24%
5,000-5,500 24%
NEW
NEW
Apr 11, 2026
<4,000
$0 Vol.
41%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
24%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
24%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
24%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
24%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
24%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
24%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Recent Easter weekend storms drove U.S. flight delays above 5,600 on April 4-5, per FlightAware data, amid high holiday volumes and air traffic control constraints, but volumes have since normalized toward 4,000-5,000 daily on calmer days like early this week. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing all delay buckets equally at 40.5¢ as spring weather forecasts remain uncertain for Friday, April 11—with FAA anticipating potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus possible ground stops at MIA/FLL. Shifts could emerge from refined weather models, ATC staffing updates, or airline alerts, tipping toward lower counts if clear skies prevail or higher amid disruptions.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Recent Easter weekend storms drove U.S. flight delays above 5,600 on April 4-5, per FlightAware data, amid high holiday volumes and air traffic control constraints, but volumes have since normalized toward 4,000-5,000 daily on calmer days like early this week. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing all delay buckets equally at 40.5¢ as spring weather forecasts remain uncertain for Friday, April 11—with FAA anticipating potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus possible ground stops at MIA/FLL. Shifts could emerge from refined weather models, ATC staffing updates, or airline alerts, tipping toward lower counts if clear skies prevail or higher amid disruptions.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Easter weekend storms drove U.S. flight delays above 5,600 on April 4-5, per FlightAware data, amid high holiday volumes and air traffic control constraints, but volumes have since normalized toward 4,000-5,000 daily on calmer days like early this week. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing all delay buckets equally at 40.5¢ as spring weather forecasts remain uncertain for Friday, April 11—with FAA anticipating potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus possible ground stops at MIA/FLL. Shifts could emerge from refined weather models, ATC staffing updates, or airline alerts, tipping toward lower counts if clear skies prevail or higher amid disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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