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Politics·Airport

Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?

Market icon
Politics·Airport

Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?

Mar 29

Apr 6

Apr 9

Apr 10

Mar 29

Apr 6

Apr 9

Apr 10

4,500-5,000 51%

5,000-5,500 45%

4,000-4,500 42%

>6,000 39%

Polymarket

$361 Vol.

4,500-5,000 51%

5,000-5,500 45%

4,000-4,500 42%

>6,000 39%

Polymarket

$361 Vol.

<3,000

$30 Vol.

1%

3,000-3,500

$122 Vol.

8%

3,500-4,000

$209 Vol.

16%

4,000-4,500

$0 Vol.

42%

4,500-5,000

$0 Vol.

51%

5,000-5,500

$0 Vol.

45%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

38%

>6,000

$0 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware reports over 4,100 delays within the US so far today, tracking toward the tightly contested 4,500-6,000 range reflecting trader consensus for typical daily domestic volumes of around 23,000 flights with 20% delay rates from routine air traffic control constraints and hub congestion. Yesterday's severe thunderstorms and high winds disrupted over 3,500 flights at 27 major airports including Southeast hubs, normalizing but leaving residual effects. Current issues include weather-driven departure delays averaging 25-45 minutes at MIA, FLL, PHL, and ORD, with increasing trends at DCA. Escalating Northeast thunderstorms or FAA ground delays at high-volume airports like ORD or JFK could push toward 5,500+, while clearing skies might cap below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$361
End Date
Apr 9, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware reports over 4,100 delays within the US so far today, tracking toward the tightly contested 4,500-6,000 range reflecting trader consensus for typical daily domestic volumes of around 23,000 flights with 20% delay rates from routine air traffic control constraints and hub congestion. Yesterday's severe thunderstorms and high winds disrupted over 3,500 flights at 27 major airports including Southeast hubs, normalizing but leaving residual effects. Current issues include weather-driven departure delays averaging 25-45 minutes at MIA, FLL, PHL, and ORD, with increasing trends at DCA. Escalating Northeast thunderstorms or FAA ground delays at high-volume airports like ORD or JFK could push toward 5,500+, while clearing skies might cap below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$361
End Date
Apr 9, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,500-5,000" at 51%, followed by "5,000-5,500" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is "4,500-5,000" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5,000-5,500" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.