Democratic incumbent George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook PVI and his 71.5% victory margin in 2024. The southern Westchester and northern Bronx seat has delivered large Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, and both parties' primaries were canceled, leaving Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Trader consensus at 99.2% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling or campaign shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
1%
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,812 Vol.
99%
Republican Party
$10,577 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook PVI and his 71.5% victory margin in 2024. The southern Westchester and northern Bronx seat has delivered large Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, and both parties' primaries were canceled, leaving Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Trader consensus at 99.2% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling or campaign shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,388End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook PVI and his 71.5% victory margin in 2024. The southern Westchester and northern Bronx seat has delivered large Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, and both parties' primaries were canceled, leaving Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Trader consensus at 99.2% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling or campaign shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,388End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook PVI and his 71.5% victory margin in 2024. The southern Westchester and northern Bronx seat has delivered large Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, and both parties' primaries were canceled, leaving Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Trader consensus at 99.2% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling or campaign shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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