The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance, including incumbent George Latimer's 2024 general election victory exceeding 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have produced only modest opposition in Democratic-leaning areas spanning the Bronx and Westchester. A national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural partisan composition continues to limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
$35,133 Vol.
$35,133 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
1%
$35,133 Vol.
$35,133 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$25,129 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$10,004 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance, including incumbent George Latimer's 2024 general election victory exceeding 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have produced only modest opposition in Democratic-leaning areas spanning the Bronx and Westchester. A national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural partisan composition continues to limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,133Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance, including incumbent George Latimer's 2024 general election victory exceeding 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have produced only modest opposition in Democratic-leaning areas spanning the Bronx and Westchester. A national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural partisan composition continues to limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,133Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance, including incumbent George Latimer's 2024 general election victory exceeding 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have produced only modest opposition in Democratic-leaning areas spanning the Bronx and Westchester. A national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural partisan composition continues to limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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