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icon for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

icon for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6% chance
Polymarket

$183,678 Vol.

6% chance
Polymarket

$183,678 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Republican-led House majorities have passed H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) and related versions, including the SAVE America Act, multiple times since 2025, most recently in February 2026 by narrow margins such as 218-213.** These measures require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration and often photo ID at polls, but they have consistently stalled in the Senate. The chamber requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster for most legislation. With Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed; none have materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass vehicles like the NDAA or pursue scaled-back versions via budget reconciliation in mid-2026 have not produced enacted law. As of early August 2026, no version has cleared the Senate or reached the president. Traders assign only a 5.5% chance of signature by year-end, reflecting the narrow Senate margin, lack of bipartisan consensus, and limited remaining legislative calendar before the end of the session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$183,678
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Republican-led House majorities have passed H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) and related versions, including the SAVE America Act, multiple times since 2025, most recently in February 2026 by narrow margins such as 218-213.** These measures require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration and often photo ID at polls, but they have consistently stalled in the Senate. The chamber requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster for most legislation. With Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed; none have materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass vehicles like the NDAA or pursue scaled-back versions via budget reconciliation in mid-2026 have not produced enacted law. As of early August 2026, no version has cleared the Senate or reached the president. Traders assign only a 5.5% chance of signature by year-end, reflecting the narrow Senate margin, lack of bipartisan consensus, and limited remaining legislative calendar before the end of the session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$183,678
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 6% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 6¢, the market collectively assigns a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" has generated $183.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" is 6% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.