**Republican-led House majorities have passed H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) and related versions, including the SAVE America Act, multiple times since 2025, most recently in February 2026 by narrow margins such as 218-213.** These measures require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration and often photo ID at polls, but they have consistently stalled in the Senate. The chamber requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster for most legislation. With Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed; none have materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass vehicles like the NDAA or pursue scaled-back versions via budget reconciliation in mid-2026 have not produced enacted law. As of early August 2026, no version has cleared the Senate or reached the president. Traders assign only a 5.5% chance of signature by year-end, reflecting the narrow Senate margin, lack of bipartisan consensus, and limited remaining legislative calendar before the end of the session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$183,678 Vol.
$183,678 Vol.
$183,678 Vol.
$183,678 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Republican-led House majorities have passed H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) and related versions, including the SAVE America Act, multiple times since 2025, most recently in February 2026 by narrow margins such as 218-213.** These measures require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration and often photo ID at polls, but they have consistently stalled in the Senate. The chamber requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster for most legislation. With Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed; none have materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass vehicles like the NDAA or pursue scaled-back versions via budget reconciliation in mid-2026 have not produced enacted law. As of early August 2026, no version has cleared the Senate or reached the president. Traders assign only a 5.5% chance of signature by year-end, reflecting the narrow Senate margin, lack of bipartisan consensus, and limited remaining legislative calendar before the end of the session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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