Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Suja Life's IPO closing market cap below $800 million at 100% implied probability, driven by the offering's conservative pricing at $21 per share—the low end of the $21–$24 range—and a weak Nasdaq debut under ticker SUJA. Shares opened at $18 on May 7, 2026, sinking 15% intraday to around $17.80, yielding a fully diluted market cap near $690 million amid tepid demand for consumer packaged goods IPOs. The Oceanside, California-based cold-pressed juice maker reported $327 million in 2025 revenue (up 26% year-over-year) but remains unprofitable, with competitive pressures in the wellness beverage sector weighing on valuation. A dramatic rebound above $20 per share today could challenge this positioning, though sector headwinds and post-IPO selling pressure render it unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$0.8B 100.0%
$0.8B–$1B <1%
$1B–$1.2B <1%
$1.2B–$1.4B <1%
$23,841 Vol.
$23,841 Vol.
<$0.8B
Yes
$0.8B–$1B
No
$1B–$1.2B
No
$1.2B–$1.4B
No
$1.4B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
<$0.8B 100.0%
$0.8B–$1B <1%
$1B–$1.2B <1%
$1.2B–$1.4B <1%
$23,841 Vol.
$23,841 Vol.
<$0.8B
Yes
$0.8B–$1B
No
$1B–$1.2B
No
$1.2B–$1.4B
No
$1.4B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Suja Life's IPO closing market cap below $800 million at 100% implied probability, driven by the offering's conservative pricing at $21 per share—the low end of the $21–$24 range—and a weak Nasdaq debut under ticker SUJA. Shares opened at $18 on May 7, 2026, sinking 15% intraday to around $17.80, yielding a fully diluted market cap near $690 million amid tepid demand for consumer packaged goods IPOs. The Oceanside, California-based cold-pressed juice maker reported $327 million in 2025 revenue (up 26% year-over-year) but remains unprofitable, with competitive pressures in the wellness beverage sector weighing on valuation. A dramatic rebound above $20 per share today could challenge this positioning, though sector headwinds and post-IPO selling pressure render it unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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