James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections sénatoriales au Texas
Élections sénatoriales au Texas
Talarico & Paxton 100.0%
Talarico & Cornyn <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$771,322 Vol.
$771,322 Vol.
3 mars 2026
Talarico & Paxton
Oui
Talarico & Cornyn
Non
Talarico & Hunt
Non
Crockett & Paxton
Non
Crockett et Cornyn
Non
Crockett & Hunt
Non
Autre
Non
Talarico & Paxton 100.0%
Talarico & Cornyn <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$771,322 Vol.
$771,322 Vol.
3 mars 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$308,863 Vol.
Oui
Talarico & Cornyn
$209,005 Vol.
Non
Talarico & Hunt
$24,084 Vol.
Non
Crockett & Paxton
$107,069 Vol.
Non
Crockett et Cornyn
$70,046 Vol.
Non
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
Non
Autre
$27,524 Vol.
Non
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$771,322Date de fin
3 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$771,322Date de fin
3 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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