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VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 93%

Matt Strickler 4.7%

Burk Stringfellow 4.0%

Nicolaus Sleister 3.1%

Polymarket
NOWE

Elaine Luria 93%

Matt Strickler 4.7%

Burk Stringfellow 4.0%

Nicolaus Sleister 3.1%

Polymarket
NOWE

Elaine Luria

$1,995 Wol.

93%

Matt Strickler

$594 Wol.

5%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Wol.

4%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Wol.

3%

James Osyf

$1,145 Wol.

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Wol.

3%

Nila Devanath

$883 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting her prior two terms representing the area, extensive name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising advantage exceeding $2.8 million. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the seat on its Red to Blue target list has further consolidated support around her as the strongest general-election challenger to incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. Other declared candidates, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, have raised far less and positioned themselves to her left on issues such as foreign policy, yet lack comparable resources or institutional backing. Late developments including candidate withdrawals and endorsements for Luria have narrowed the field. A significant shift would require an unforeseen surge in opposition turnout or a major undisclosed development before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$7,769
Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting her prior two terms representing the area, extensive name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising advantage exceeding $2.8 million. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the seat on its Red to Blue target list has further consolidated support around her as the strongest general-election challenger to incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. Other declared candidates, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, have raised far less and positioned themselves to her left on issues such as foreign policy, yet lack comparable resources or institutional backing. Late developments including candidate withdrawals and endorsements for Luria have narrowed the field. A significant shift would require an unforeseen surge in opposition turnout or a major undisclosed development before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$7,769
Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Elaine Luria" z 93%, za nim "Matt Strickler" z 5%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 93¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 93% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Nov 25, 2025. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" jest "Elaine Luria" z 93%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 93% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Matt Strickler" z 5%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.