Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, extending and expanding 2017 TCJA business provisions with permanent 100% bonus depreciation, modified international rules, and other corporate relief while keeping the statutory rate at 21%. With midterms scheduled for November 2026, the legislative calendar leaves minimal floor time for new reconciliation or tax legislation before year-end. Congressional priorities have shifted toward appropriations, debt-limit matters, and implementation of the prior package rather than rate reductions. Trader consensus at 95.5% on “No” reflects these timing and procedural constraints. Late-session action or an unexpected post-election lame-duck package could still alter the outcome if unified Republican control materializes and leadership prioritizes additional cuts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, extending and expanding 2017 TCJA business provisions with permanent 100% bonus depreciation, modified international rules, and other corporate relief while keeping the statutory rate at 21%. With midterms scheduled for November 2026, the legislative calendar leaves minimal floor time for new reconciliation or tax legislation before year-end. Congressional priorities have shifted toward appropriations, debt-limit matters, and implementation of the prior package rather than rate reductions. Trader consensus at 95.5% on “No” reflects these timing and procedural constraints. Late-session action or an unexpected post-election lame-duck package could still alter the outcome if unified Republican control materializes and leadership prioritizes additional cuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,959End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, extending and expanding 2017 TCJA business provisions with permanent 100% bonus depreciation, modified international rules, and other corporate relief while keeping the statutory rate at 21%. With midterms scheduled for November 2026, the legislative calendar leaves minimal floor time for new reconciliation or tax legislation before year-end. Congressional priorities have shifted toward appropriations, debt-limit matters, and implementation of the prior package rather than rate reductions. Trader consensus at 95.5% on “No” reflects these timing and procedural constraints. Late-session action or an unexpected post-election lame-duck package could still alter the outcome if unified Republican control materializes and leadership prioritizes additional cuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,959End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, extending and expanding 2017 TCJA business provisions with permanent 100% bonus depreciation, modified international rules, and other corporate relief while keeping the statutory rate at 21%. With midterms scheduled for November 2026, the legislative calendar leaves minimal floor time for new reconciliation or tax legislation before year-end. Congressional priorities have shifted toward appropriations, debt-limit matters, and implementation of the prior package rather than rate reductions. Trader consensus at 95.5% on “No” reflects these timing and procedural constraints. Late-session action or an unexpected post-election lame-duck package could still alter the outcome if unified Republican control materializes and leadership prioritizes additional cuts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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