Tesla's stock has rallied over 80% in the past three months amid optimism around autonomous driving advancements and CEO Elon Musk's political influence boosting investor sentiment, with shares trading near $420 and a $1.35 trillion market cap as of late December 2024. Traders are pricing in accelerated revenue from Full Self-Driving software subscriptions, Cybertruck production ramp-up, and potential robotaxi deployment, though headwinds persist from softening EV demand in China and Europe, compressed automotive margins at 17.1% in Q3, and rising competition. Key upcoming catalysts include Q4 delivery figures on January 2, 2025, and earnings on January 29, highlighting FSD take rates and energy storage growth; longer-term, regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy and Optimus humanoid robot progress will shape paths to sustained growth toward 2026 price targets. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these high-conviction narratives versus macroeconomic risks like interest rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Apr 3, 2026
↑ $412.50
50%
↑ $405
50%
↑ $397.50
50%
↑ $390
50%
↑ $382.50
50%
↑ $375
50%
↑ $367.50
50%
↓ $360
50%
↓ $352.50
50%
↓ $345
50%
↓ $337.50
100%
↓ $330
50%
↓ $322.50
100%
↓ $315
99%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $412.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $405
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $397.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $390
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $382.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $375
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $367.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $360
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $352.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $345
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $337.50
$0 Vol.
100%
↓ $330
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $322.50
$0 Vol.
100%
↓ $315
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Tesla's stock has rallied over 80% in the past three months amid optimism around autonomous driving advancements and CEO Elon Musk's political influence boosting investor sentiment, with shares trading near $420 and a $1.35 trillion market cap as of late December 2024. Traders are pricing in accelerated revenue from Full Self-Driving software subscriptions, Cybertruck production ramp-up, and potential robotaxi deployment, though headwinds persist from softening EV demand in China and Europe, compressed automotive margins at 17.1% in Q3, and rising competition. Key upcoming catalysts include Q4 delivery figures on January 2, 2025, and earnings on January 29, highlighting FSD take rates and energy storage growth; longer-term, regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy and Optimus humanoid robot progress will shape paths to sustained growth toward 2026 price targets. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these high-conviction narratives versus macroeconomic risks like interest rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Tesla's stock has rallied over 80% in the past three months amid optimism around autonomous driving advancements and CEO Elon Musk's political influence boosting investor sentiment, with shares trading near $420 and a $1.35 trillion market cap as of late December 2024. Traders are pricing in accelerated revenue from Full Self-Driving software subscriptions, Cybertruck production ramp-up, and potential robotaxi deployment, though headwinds persist from softening EV demand in China and Europe, compressed automotive margins at 17.1% in Q3, and rising competition. Key upcoming catalysts include Q4 delivery figures on January 2, 2025, and earnings on January 29, highlighting FSD take rates and energy storage growth; longer-term, regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy and Optimus humanoid robot progress will shape paths to sustained growth toward 2026 price targets. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these high-conviction narratives versus macroeconomic risks like interest rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's stock has rallied over 80% in the past three months amid optimism around autonomous driving advancements and CEO Elon Musk's political influence boosting investor sentiment, with shares trading near $420 and a $1.35 trillion market cap as of late December 2024. Traders are pricing in accelerated revenue from Full Self-Driving software subscriptions, Cybertruck production ramp-up, and potential robotaxi deployment, though headwinds persist from softening EV demand in China and Europe, compressed automotive margins at 17.1% in Q3, and rising competition. Key upcoming catalysts include Q4 delivery figures on January 2, 2025, and earnings on January 29, highlighting FSD take rates and energy storage growth; longer-term, regulatory approvals for unsupervised autonomy and Optimus humanoid robot progress will shape paths to sustained growth toward 2026 price targets. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these high-conviction narratives versus macroeconomic risks like interest rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions