**With a stable Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-election gains plus floor-crossings, the next federal election faces low immediate pressure for a snap call.** The fixed-date provision sets the latest possible polling day for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can advise dissolution earlier. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding double-digit leads over the Conservatives amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions, which have bolstered public support for Carney’s approach. Multiple by-elections scheduled through early 2027 and the October 5, 2026 Quebec provincial vote represent nearer-term electoral activity, but they do not alter the federal majority or trigger dissolution. Parliamentary confidence remains secure, limiting near-term catalysts for an earlier contest unless polling dynamics shift sharply or legislative challenges emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$94,880 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre 2026
6%
$94,880 Vol.
31 décembre 2026
$3,222 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**With a stable Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-election gains plus floor-crossings, the next federal election faces low immediate pressure for a snap call.** The fixed-date provision sets the latest possible polling day for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can advise dissolution earlier. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding double-digit leads over the Conservatives amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions, which have bolstered public support for Carney’s approach. Multiple by-elections scheduled through early 2027 and the October 5, 2026 Quebec provincial vote represent nearer-term electoral activity, but they do not alter the federal majority or trigger dissolution. Parliamentary confidence remains secure, limiting near-term catalysts for an earlier contest unless polling dynamics shift sharply or legislative challenges emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$94,880Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**With a stable Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-election gains plus floor-crossings, the next federal election faces low immediate pressure for a snap call.** The fixed-date provision sets the latest possible polling day for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can advise dissolution earlier. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding double-digit leads over the Conservatives amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions, which have bolstered public support for Carney’s approach. Multiple by-elections scheduled through early 2027 and the October 5, 2026 Quebec provincial vote represent nearer-term electoral activity, but they do not alter the federal majority or trigger dissolution. Parliamentary confidence remains secure, limiting near-term catalysts for an earlier contest unless polling dynamics shift sharply or legislative challenges emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$94,880Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**With a stable Liberal majority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-election gains plus floor-crossings, the next federal election faces low immediate pressure for a snap call.** The fixed-date provision sets the latest possible polling day for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can advise dissolution earlier. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding double-digit leads over the Conservatives amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions, which have bolstered public support for Carney’s approach. Multiple by-elections scheduled through early 2027 and the October 5, 2026 Quebec provincial vote represent nearer-term electoral activity, but they do not alter the federal majority or trigger dissolution. Parliamentary confidence remains secure, limiting near-term catalysts for an earlier contest unless polling dynamics shift sharply or legislative challenges emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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