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icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Vincent Marissal 44%

Étienne Grandmont 44%

Farnell Morisset 27%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Vincent Marissal 44%

Étienne Grandmont 44%

Farnell Morisset 27%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Vincent Marissal

Vincent Marissal

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Étienne Grandmont

Étienne Grandmont

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Farnell Morisset

Farnell Morisset

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Eliot Estévez-Verville

Eliot Estévez-Verville

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding remains highly competitive ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire facing new Parti québécois candidate Christian Savard after Vincent Marissal’s rapid withdrawal over ethics concerns involving parliamentary housing allowances. Recent projections show QS holding a modest edge in this left-leaning Quebec City district, but vote splitting among the Parti libéral’s Farnell Morisset, Coalition avenir Québec’s Brigitte Martin, and the Parti conservateur’s Eliot Estévez-Verville keeps the outcome fluid. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple options clustered near even odds and no single contender establishing clear separation. Local priorities such as housing affordability, homelessness, and mobility, alongside province-wide polling trends favoring the PQ, could shift momentum depending on candidate visibility and turnout in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding remains highly competitive ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire facing new Parti québécois candidate Christian Savard after Vincent Marissal’s rapid withdrawal over ethics concerns involving parliamentary housing allowances. Recent projections show QS holding a modest edge in this left-leaning Quebec City district, but vote splitting among the Parti libéral’s Farnell Morisset, Coalition avenir Québec’s Brigitte Martin, and the Parti conservateur’s Eliot Estévez-Verville keeps the outcome fluid. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple options clustered near even odds and no single contender establishing clear separation. Local priorities such as housing affordability, homelessness, and mobility, alongside province-wide polling trends favoring the PQ, could shift momentum depending on candidate visibility and turnout in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Vincent Marissal » à 45%, suivi de « Étienne Grandmont » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Vincent Marissal » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Étienne Grandmont » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.