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icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jean-François Cloutier 49%

Nathalie Roy 47%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Jean-François Cloutier 49%

Nathalie Roy 47%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Jean-François Cloutier

Jean-François Cloutier

$1,095 Vol.

49%

icon for Nathalie Roy

Nathalie Roy

$1,804 Vol.

47%

icon for Mathieu Lavoie

Mathieu Lavoie

$619 Vol.

1%

icon for Ginette Langlois

Ginette Langlois

$942 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montarville riding, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Nathalie Roy, with both priced near 48 percent amid broader provincial polling volatility ahead of the October 5 vote. Roy benefits from name recognition and her role as National Assembly president, while Cloutier’s recent candidacy announcement leverages PQ momentum among francophone voters on issues such as sovereignty and public services. Projections from models updated in mid-September show the riding as a toss-up, with popular vote estimates fluctuating between the two parties by single digits. Mathieu Lavoie for the Liberals and Ginette Langlois for Québec solidaire trail significantly, consistent with their parties’ weaker regional positioning. Late-campaign developments in turnout or debate performance could shift the balance before polls close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,460
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montarville riding, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Nathalie Roy, with both priced near 48 percent amid broader provincial polling volatility ahead of the October 5 vote. Roy benefits from name recognition and her role as National Assembly president, while Cloutier’s recent candidacy announcement leverages PQ momentum among francophone voters on issues such as sovereignty and public services. Projections from models updated in mid-September show the riding as a toss-up, with popular vote estimates fluctuating between the two parties by single digits. Mathieu Lavoie for the Liberals and Ginette Langlois for Québec solidaire trail significantly, consistent with their parties’ weaker regional positioning. Late-campaign developments in turnout or debate performance could shift the balance before polls close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,460
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...

Connexes

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jean-François Cloutier » à 52%, suivi de « Nathalie Roy » à 52%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Jean-François Cloutier » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Nathalie Roy » à 52%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.