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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama
Politique·Japon

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama
Politique·Japon

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 24%

Kazuma Nakatani 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 24%

Kazuma Nakatani 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Atsumi Harasawa

Atsumi Harasawa

$513 Vol.

52%

icon for Yuka Asaka

Yuka Asaka

$114 Vol.

24%

icon for Kazuma Nakatani

Kazuma Nakatani

$70 Vol.

15%

icon for Atsushi Fukuyama

Atsushi Fukuyama

$98 Vol.

11%

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Date de fin
18 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Date de fin
18 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Atsumi Harasawa » à 63%, suivi de « Yuka Asaka » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama » est « Atsumi Harasawa » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Yuka Asaka » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Yokohama » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.