Otzma Yehudit continues to prepare for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, submitting its candidate list with new additions including Haredi representatives and advancing coalition demands for portfolios such as defense. A September 14 petition by the Democrats party to disqualify the slate under Section 7A of the Basic Law, citing alleged incitement and institutional erosion, has been characterized as a long shot given the party's voter base and prior electoral participation. The Central Elections Committee has instead advanced disqualifications against certain Arab lists like Ra'am and the Joint List on parallel grounds, with those decisions now heading to the Supreme Court for final review. Trader consensus reflects these procedural realities and the absence of successful prior bans against the party despite ongoing legal challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
12% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 oct. 2026
Oui
12% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 oct. 2026
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Otzma Yehudit continues to prepare for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, submitting its candidate list with new additions including Haredi representatives and advancing coalition demands for portfolios such as defense. A September 14 petition by the Democrats party to disqualify the slate under Section 7A of the Basic Law, citing alleged incitement and institutional erosion, has been characterized as a long shot given the party's voter base and prior electoral participation. The Central Elections Committee has instead advanced disqualifications against certain Arab lists like Ra'am and the Joint List on parallel grounds, with those decisions now heading to the Supreme Court for final review. Trader consensus reflects these procedural realities and the absence of successful prior bans against the party despite ongoing legal challenges.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$40Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070be91...Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Otzma Yehudit continues to prepare for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, submitting its candidate list with new additions including Haredi representatives and advancing coalition demands for portfolios such as defense. A September 14 petition by the Democrats party to disqualify the slate under Section 7A of the Basic Law, citing alleged incitement and institutional erosion, has been characterized as a long shot given the party's voter base and prior electoral participation. The Central Elections Committee has instead advanced disqualifications against certain Arab lists like Ra'am and the Joint List on parallel grounds, with those decisions now heading to the Supreme Court for final review. Trader consensus reflects these procedural realities and the absence of successful prior bans against the party despite ongoing legal challenges.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070be91...Otzma Yehudit continues to prepare for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, submitting its candidate list with new additions including Haredi representatives and advancing coalition demands for portfolios such as defense. A September 14 petition by the Democrats party to disqualify the slate under Section 7A of the Basic Law, citing alleged incitement and institutional erosion, has been characterized as a long shot given the party's voter base and prior electoral participation. The Central Elections Committee has instead advanced disqualifications against certain Arab lists like Ra'am and the Joint List on parallel grounds, with those decisions now heading to the Supreme Court for final review. Trader consensus reflects these procedural realities and the absence of successful prior bans against the party despite ongoing legal challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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