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Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$60 Vol.

7%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$80 Vol.

7%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court’s March 2026 bribery ruling against former FAST MP and Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo, which voided his 2025 victory; the Court of Appeal upheld the decision around June, clearing the path for the poll under the Electoral Act. Multiple candidates, including Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, are contesting amid FAST’s efforts to retain the seat and HRPP challenges in the constituency. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 50% for most listed contenders because no dominant frontrunner has emerged from local endorsements, party nominations, or recent campaigning, with separation likely hinging on voter turnout patterns, candidate withdrawals, or last-minute coalition signals before the writ and polling date.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$140
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court’s March 2026 bribery ruling against former FAST MP and Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo, which voided his 2025 victory; the Court of Appeal upheld the decision around June, clearing the path for the poll under the Electoral Act. Multiple candidates, including Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, are contesting amid FAST’s efforts to retain the seat and HRPP challenges in the constituency. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 50% for most listed contenders because no dominant frontrunner has emerged from local endorsements, party nominations, or recent campaigning, with separation likely hinging on voter turnout patterns, candidate withdrawals, or last-minute coalition signals before the writ and polling date.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$140
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

Connexes

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

44%
Oui
icon for Yiwarr McGrath va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection partielle de Mulka ?

Yiwarr McGrath va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection partielle de Mulka ?

93%
Oui
icon for Daniel Gobeil remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de 2026 à Chicoutimi—Le Fjord ?

Daniel Gobeil remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de 2026 à Chicoutimi—Le Fjord ?

82%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu » à 28%, suivi de « Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est « Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.