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icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 61%

Geneviève Hébert 25%

Jacqueline Belleau 17%

Mia Fréchette 4.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Sylvie Tanguay 61%

Geneviève Hébert 25%

Jacqueline Belleau 17%

Mia Fréchette 4.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$1,441 Vol.

62%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$3,464 Vol.

27%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$1,269 Vol.

27%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$1,014 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Saint-François riding, trader consensus assigns Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois the highest implied probability at 59 percent ahead of the October 5 Quebec provincial election. Recent riding-level projections show the PQ ahead on popular vote, reflecting broader provincial momentum and voter focus on health care delivery. Incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition avenir Québec trails at lower odds amid her party's weaker standing. Liberal candidate Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette register modest support in forecasts, while other contenders remain further back. The contest remains competitive because final turnout, late campaign events, and regional priorities such as temporary foreign worker programs could still shift margins in this first-past-the-post contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$7,187
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Saint-François riding, trader consensus assigns Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois the highest implied probability at 59 percent ahead of the October 5 Quebec provincial election. Recent riding-level projections show the PQ ahead on popular vote, reflecting broader provincial momentum and voter focus on health care delivery. Incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition avenir Québec trails at lower odds amid her party's weaker standing. Liberal candidate Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette register modest support in forecasts, while other contenders remain further back. The contest remains competitive because final turnout, late campaign events, and regional priorities such as temporary foreign worker programs could still shift margins in this first-past-the-post contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$7,187
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Guillaume Cliche-Rivard win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Guillaume Cliche-Rivard win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

55%
icon for Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

49%
icon for Frédéric Poulin gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Côte-du-Sud ?

Frédéric Poulin gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Côte-du-Sud ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sylvie Tanguay » à 62%, suivi de « Geneviève Hébert » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 62¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Sylvie Tanguay » à 62%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Geneviève Hébert » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.