Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 26%
140-159 8%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
34%
120-139
26%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
7%
200+
2%
100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 26%
140-159 8%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
34%
120-139
26%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
7%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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