Trader sentiment on Denver's March 25 high temperature evenly favors 80-89°F bins at 17% each, propelled by major weather models' consensus under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting clear skies, peak solar insolation, and potential chinook downslope warming well above the 57°F climatological average. NOAA's latest guidance centers on 82-84°F, with ensemble spreads—ECMWF slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks versus GFS variability down to 78°F—driving the tight clustering amid dry soils that accelerate daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor jet stream shifts narrowing upper-80s odds, but persistent uncertainty in peak-hour cloud cover and exact ridge strength differentiates leading outcomes, warranting trader focus on afternoon NWS updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's March 25 high temperature evenly favors 80-89°F bins at 17% each, propelled by major weather models' consensus under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting clear skies, peak solar insolation, and potential chinook downslope warming well above the 57°F climatological average. NOAA's latest guidance centers on 82-84°F, with ensemble spreads—ECMWF slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks versus GFS variability down to 78°F—driving the tight clustering amid dry soils that accelerate daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor jet stream shifts narrowing upper-80s odds, but persistent uncertainty in peak-hour cloud cover and exact ridge strength differentiates leading outcomes, warranting trader focus on afternoon NWS updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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