Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18-19°C highs in Chongqing on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 18.5°C amid moderating southerly flows after a recent cold front. China Meteorological Administration data confirms seasonal March averages of 16-18°C, with current anomalies pushing slight warmth via post-frontal subsidence and light cloud cover. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from model spread on peak diurnal heating: ECMWF favors 18°C with persistent haze, while GFS edges 19-20°C on clearer skies; lower odds for 15°C or below reflect absent cold air advection signals, and extremes above 22°C lack upper-ridge amplification. Watch 12Z updates for convection risks capping peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
18°C 23%
19°C 23%
15°C or below 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
18%
16°C
16%
17°C
18%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
14%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
2%
18°C 23%
19°C 23%
15°C or below 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
18%
16°C
16%
17°C
18%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
14%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18-19°C highs in Chongqing on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 18.5°C amid moderating southerly flows after a recent cold front. China Meteorological Administration data confirms seasonal March averages of 16-18°C, with current anomalies pushing slight warmth via post-frontal subsidence and light cloud cover. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from model spread on peak diurnal heating: ECMWF favors 18°C with persistent haze, while GFS edges 19-20°C on clearer skies; lower odds for 15°C or below reflect absent cold air advection signals, and extremes above 22°C lack upper-ridge amplification. Watch 12Z updates for convection risks capping peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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