Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 21 high temperature remains evenly split across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in ensemble weather models during the city's volatile spring transition. Primary drivers include conflicting ECMWF and GFS forecasts, with the European model leaning toward 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, while GFS hints at warmer 19-20°C if high-pressure ridges strengthen. Recent cold air surges from Mongolia have depressed early March averages to 14-16°C, below the 17°C historical norm for the Sichuan Basin, where fog and inversions amplify daily swings. Official China Meteorological Administration updates today could shift odds toward mid-teens if cloud cover persists.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 21 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 21 mars ?
11°C ou moins 25%
12°C 25%
13°C 25%
14°C 25%
11°C ou moins
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C ou plus
25%
11°C ou moins 25%
12°C 25%
13°C 25%
14°C 25%
11°C ou moins
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C ou plus
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 21 high temperature remains evenly split across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in ensemble weather models during the city's volatile spring transition. Primary drivers include conflicting ECMWF and GFS forecasts, with the European model leaning toward 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, while GFS hints at warmer 19-20°C if high-pressure ridges strengthen. Recent cold air surges from Mongolia have depressed early March averages to 14-16°C, below the 17°C historical norm for the Sichuan Basin, where fog and inversions amplify daily swings. Official China Meteorological Administration updates today could shift odds toward mid-teens if cloud cover persists.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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