Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 remains evenly split across outcomes from 9°C or below to 19°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in early spring forecasts amid the region's continental climate variability. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average March highs around 16°C for Wuhan, with standard deviations of 4-5°C driven by passing frontal systems and Yangtze River humidity. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble models diverge, projecting 12-18°C ranges due to potential northerly cold air intrusions versus southerly warm flows; a developing low-pressure system could suppress peaks below 13°C, while clear skies might elevate to 17°C+. Traders await tomorrow's 00Z model updates for resolution clarity, as diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 24 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 24 mars ?
9°C ou moins 26%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
9°C ou moins
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C ou plus
26%
9°C ou moins 26%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
9°C ou moins
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C ou plus
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 remains evenly split across outcomes from 9°C or below to 19°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in early spring forecasts amid the region's continental climate variability. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average March highs around 16°C for Wuhan, with standard deviations of 4-5°C driven by passing frontal systems and Yangtze River humidity. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble models diverge, projecting 12-18°C ranges due to potential northerly cold air intrusions versus southerly warm flows; a developing low-pressure system could suppress peaks below 13°C, while clear skies might elevate to 17°C+. Traders await tomorrow's 00Z model updates for resolution clarity, as diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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