Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered around 25-26% probabilities across 14-24°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which show spreads of 5-8°C due to uncertainty in a passing cold front's timing and cloud cover evolution. Official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center peg daytime highs near 18-20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning with March climatological averages of 16-19°C but tempered by recent upstream rainfall cooling soil moisture and suppressing diurnal heating. Urban heat island effects in the megacity could push peaks 1-2°C higher, while any prolonged cloudiness favors sub-17°C outcomes; traders eye hourly station data releases by 1800 UTC for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered around 25-26% probabilities across 14-24°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which show spreads of 5-8°C due to uncertainty in a passing cold front's timing and cloud cover evolution. Official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center peg daytime highs near 18-20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning with March climatological averages of 16-19°C but tempered by recent upstream rainfall cooling soil moisture and suppressing diurnal heating. Urban heat island effects in the megacity could push peaks 1-2°C higher, while any prolonged cloudiness favors sub-17°C outcomes; traders eye hourly station data releases by 1800 UTC for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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