Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 17°C in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime maxima around 16-18°C amid mild spring conditions. Chongqing's basin topography promotes daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds bringing warmer air masses, but nighttime cooling caps extremes—historical March data shows average highs of 16-18°C. Recent observations confirm stable patterns, with yesterday's high near 17°C and minimal volatility in short-range guidance; low odds for 19°C+ reflect slim upside risk from potential cloud breaks, while sub-17°C outcomes are negligible given radiative forcing trends. Key watch: 12Z model updates today could nudge probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 20 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 20 mars ?
17°C 95.9%
19°C ou plus 2.8%
18°C 1.4%
14°C <1%
$17,774 Vol.
$17,774 Vol.
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
92%
18°C
1%
19°C ou plus
3%
17°C 95.9%
19°C ou plus 2.8%
18°C 1.4%
14°C <1%
$17,774 Vol.
$17,774 Vol.
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
92%
18°C
1%
19°C ou plus
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 17°C in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime maxima around 16-18°C amid mild spring conditions. Chongqing's basin topography promotes daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds bringing warmer air masses, but nighttime cooling caps extremes—historical March data shows average highs of 16-18°C. Recent observations confirm stable patterns, with yesterday's high near 17°C and minimal volatility in short-range guidance; low odds for 19°C+ reflect slim upside risk from potential cloud breaks, while sub-17°C outcomes are negligible given radiative forcing trends. Key watch: 12Z model updates today could nudge probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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