Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 56-61°F highs for NYC on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a mild southerly flow ushering in temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies. The National Weather Service point forecast leans toward 58-59°F, but model spreads of 3-5°F reflect uncertainty from an approaching weak frontal boundary that could cap peaks via increased cloudiness or light showers. Historical March averages hover near 54°F, yet this year's persistent warm anomalies—tied to a wavering jet stream—elevate odds for the leading bins, with 62°F+ less favored absent stronger ridging. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 22 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 22 mars ?
56-57 °F 21%
58-59°F 20%
60-61 °F 19%
54-55°F 13%
$98,422 Vol.
$98,422 Vol.
53°F ou moins
11%
54-55°F
13%
56-57 °F
21%
58-59°F
20%
60-61 °F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65 °F
5%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F ou plus
1%
56-57 °F 21%
58-59°F 20%
60-61 °F 19%
54-55°F 13%
$98,422 Vol.
$98,422 Vol.
53°F ou moins
11%
54-55°F
13%
56-57 °F
21%
58-59°F
20%
60-61 °F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65 °F
5%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 56-61°F highs for NYC on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a mild southerly flow ushering in temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies. The National Weather Service point forecast leans toward 58-59°F, but model spreads of 3-5°F reflect uncertainty from an approaching weak frontal boundary that could cap peaks via increased cloudiness or light showers. Historical March averages hover near 54°F, yet this year's persistent warm anomalies—tied to a wavering jet stream—elevate odds for the leading bins, with 62°F+ less favored absent stronger ridging. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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