Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.8% implied probability), propelled by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles forecasting afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 60s under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mild southerly flow and ample sunshine. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-normal temperatures consistent with Atlanta's March climatology (historical highs averaging 66°F). Verified surface observations today already show morning lows in the 40s, priming diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated shortwave trough introducing cooler mid-level air or marine layer persistence capping highs below 58°F, though current guidance deems this low-likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 96.8%
52-53°F 1.4%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
58°F or higher 96.8%
52-53°F 1.4%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.8% implied probability), propelled by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles forecasting afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 60s under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mild southerly flow and ample sunshine. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with GFS and ECMWF runs converging on above-normal temperatures consistent with Atlanta's March climatology (historical highs averaging 66°F). Verified surface observations today already show morning lows in the 40s, priming diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated shortwave trough introducing cooler mid-level air or marine layer persistence capping highs below 58°F, though current guidance deems this low-likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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