Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a mid-80s peak for Atlanta's March 22 high temperature, with 84-85°F leading at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting 83-86°F amid a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This setup promotes southerly winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, fueling convective heating under mostly sunny skies, per NOAA's high-resolution rapid refresh (HRRR) runs. Differentiating the tight race between 82-83°F (23%) and 86-87°F (17%) are minor divergences in model timing of peak insolation and slim chances of afternoon cumulus clouds capping highs, against a historical March average of 67°F—recent soundings confirm anomalously warm low-level profiles boosting confidence in above-normal outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 11%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
4%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 11%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a mid-80s peak for Atlanta's March 22 high temperature, with 84-85°F leading at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting 83-86°F amid a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This setup promotes southerly winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, fueling convective heating under mostly sunny skies, per NOAA's high-resolution rapid refresh (HRRR) runs. Differentiating the tight race between 82-83°F (23%) and 86-87°F (17%) are minor divergences in model timing of peak insolation and slim chances of afternoon cumulus clouds capping highs, against a historical March average of 67°F—recent soundings confirm anomalously warm low-level profiles boosting confidence in above-normal outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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