Trader sentiment clusters around 78-79°F (26.5% implied probability) as the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project peak highs in that range for Atlanta on March 23, driven by a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating nearby bins, subtle model spreads emerge from timing of maximum insolation—mid-afternoon clearing favors 78-79°F over cooler 74-75°F (18.5%) if morning stratus lingers, while 80-81°F (18.0%) hinges on stronger subsidence suppressing clouds. Historical March 23 averages hover near 68°F, but this setup echoes warm outliers like 2020's 82°F anomaly. Watch NWS 12z updates and Hartsfield-Jackson soundings for resolution-shifting clarity amid low precipitation risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
7%
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 78-79°F (26.5% implied probability) as the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project peak highs in that range for Atlanta on March 23, driven by a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating nearby bins, subtle model spreads emerge from timing of maximum insolation—mid-afternoon clearing favors 78-79°F over cooler 74-75°F (18.5%) if morning stratus lingers, while 80-81°F (18.0%) hinges on stronger subsidence suppressing clouds. Historical March 23 averages hover near 68°F, but this setup echoes warm outliers like 2020's 82°F anomaly. Watch NWS 12z updates and Hartsfield-Jackson soundings for resolution-shifting clarity amid low precipitation risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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