Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C (52.5% combined implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on March 23, driven primarily by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast of 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth. Numerical models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show minor divergence, with some runs capping peaks at 26°C due to potential afternoon sea breezes and urban humidity moderating solar heating, while others project 28°C amid low cloud cover. Historical March highs average 22–24°C, but recent anomalous warmth elevates mid-to-upper 20s odds; traders eye pre-dawn updates for resolution-defining diurnal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
25°C 32%
27°C 32%
24°C 30%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
5%
25°C 32%
27°C 32%
24°C 30%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C (52.5% combined implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on March 23, driven primarily by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast of 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth. Numerical models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show minor divergence, with some runs capping peaks at 26°C due to potential afternoon sea breezes and urban humidity moderating solar heating, while others project 28°C amid low cloud cover. Historical March highs average 22–24°C, but recent anomalous warmth elevates mid-to-upper 20s odds; traders eye pre-dawn updates for resolution-defining diurnal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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