Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26°C and 27°C highs for Taipei on March 22, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a peak of 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds suppressing extremes. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with some runs favoring 25°C amid lingering moisture from a weakening cold front, while others imply 28°C+ from urban heat island effects and solar insolation during diurnal warming. March climatology averages 24°C highs, but recent observations show above-normal temperatures, heightening uncertainty; resolution hinges on afternoon convective stability and measured data from Taipei Songshan station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
28°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
17%
28°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26°C and 27°C highs for Taipei on March 22, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a peak of 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds suppressing extremes. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with some runs favoring 25°C amid lingering moisture from a weakening cold front, while others imply 28°C+ from urban heat island effects and solar insolation during diurnal warming. March climatology averages 24°C highs, but recent observations show above-normal temperatures, heightening uncertainty; resolution hinges on afternoon convective stability and measured data from Taipei Songshan station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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