**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daily maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 67.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Ilmatieteen laitos) and supporting runs from Foreca and Yr.no all indicate a high of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 6–7 m/s. This reflects a typical early-September pattern for the region, where daytime heating is moderated by seasonal decline in solar insolation and cooler maritime air. Historical climatology places the long-term average high around 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain well below records near 21–23°C. Model agreement is tight, with limited spread that keeps 18°C (22.5%) plausible only if boundary-layer mixing or reduced cloud cover allows extra warming. Lower outcomes such as 16°C (10.5%) would require faster cooling or more persistent cloud cover than currently projected. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest short-range model updates and any revisions from the National Weather Service equivalents most heavily.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 11 septembre ?
17°C 68%
16°C 19%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
19%
17°C
68%
18°C
13%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 68%
16°C 19%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$275 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$671 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,150 Vol.
19%
17°C
$2,733 Vol.
68%
18°C
$1,962 Vol.
13%
19°C
$656 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daily maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 67.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Ilmatieteen laitos) and supporting runs from Foreca and Yr.no all indicate a high of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 6–7 m/s. This reflects a typical early-September pattern for the region, where daytime heating is moderated by seasonal decline in solar insolation and cooler maritime air. Historical climatology places the long-term average high around 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain well below records near 21–23°C.
Model agreement is tight, with limited spread that keeps 18°C (22.5%) plausible only if boundary-layer mixing or reduced cloud cover allows extra warming. Lower outcomes such as 16°C (10.5%) would require faster cooling or more persistent cloud cover than currently projected. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest short-range model updates and any revisions from the National Weather Service equivalents most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,634Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daily maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 67.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Ilmatieteen laitos) and supporting runs from Foreca and Yr.no all indicate a high of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 6–7 m/s. This reflects a typical early-September pattern for the region, where daytime heating is moderated by seasonal decline in solar insolation and cooler maritime air. Historical climatology places the long-term average high around 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain well below records near 21–23°C.
Model agreement is tight, with limited spread that keeps 18°C (22.5%) plausible only if boundary-layer mixing or reduced cloud cover allows extra warming. Lower outcomes such as 16°C (10.5%) would require faster cooling or more persistent cloud cover than currently projected. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest short-range model updates and any revisions from the National Weather Service equivalents most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,634Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a daily maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 67.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Ilmatieteen laitos) and supporting runs from Foreca and Yr.no all indicate a high of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 6–7 m/s. This reflects a typical early-September pattern for the region, where daytime heating is moderated by seasonal decline in solar insolation and cooler maritime air. Historical climatology places the long-term average high around 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain well below records near 21–23°C. Model agreement is tight, with limited spread that keeps 18°C (22.5%) plausible only if boundary-layer mixing or reduced cloud cover allows extra warming. Lower outcomes such as 16°C (10.5%) would require faster cooling or more persistent cloud cover than currently projected. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest short-range model updates and any revisions from the National Weather Service equivalents most heavily.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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