Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
29°C 36%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
$10,126 Vol.
$10,126 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
29%
29°C
36%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
10%
29°C 36%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
$10,126 Vol.
$10,126 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
29%
29°C
36%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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