Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$230,571 Vol.
$230,571 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$230,571 Vol.
$230,571 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
11°C or below
$3,133 Vol.
No
12°C
$8,302 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,836 Vol.
No
14°C
$14,427 Vol.
No
15°C
$16,660 Vol.
No
16°C
$67,566 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$33,593 Vol.
No
18°C
$36,771 Vol.
No
19°C
$19,835 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,540 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$13,907 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$230,571Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$230,571Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 16°C around 3 p.m., driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Despite 10.1 hours of sunshine at Heathrow—the day's sunniest site—persistent easterly winds and patchy cloud cover suppressed peak warming, consistent with model consensus forecasts of 16–17°C amid a cooler northerly airflow pattern. This aligns with Central England Temperature anomalies remaining near average for mid-April (typically 13–15°C highs), resolving prior market uncertainty. Data revisions are rare post-verification, though official finalization via monthly summaries could theoretically adjust marginally if instrument discrepancies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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