Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 6 août ?
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
$13,926 Vol.
$13,926 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
$13,926 Vol.
$13,926 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes