Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a brief cooling trend across central Spain early in August 2026, following an intense late-July heatwave, positioning 32–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s daily maximum on August 3. High-pressure dominance is expected to ease, allowing slightly cooler Atlantic-influenced air masses and reduced insolation, with ensemble guidance converging on highs near 32°C. This aligns with climatological patterns of early-month temperature declines averaging 1–2°C per week after peak summer conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes reflects trader confidence in the near-term model consensus, though small shifts in steering flow or local urban heat effects could still push readings to 35°C or hold them at 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 3 août ?
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 21%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 21%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
29°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
2%
31°C
$201 Vol.
3%
32°C
$204 Vol.
24%
33°C
$234 Vol.
53%
34°C
$193 Vol.
21%
35°C
$128 Vol.
9%
36°C
$96 Vol.
3%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a brief cooling trend across central Spain early in August 2026, following an intense late-July heatwave, positioning 32–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s daily maximum on August 3. High-pressure dominance is expected to ease, allowing slightly cooler Atlantic-influenced air masses and reduced insolation, with ensemble guidance converging on highs near 32°C. This aligns with climatological patterns of early-month temperature declines averaging 1–2°C per week after peak summer conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes reflects trader confidence in the near-term model consensus, though small shifts in steering flow or local urban heat effects could still push readings to 35°C or hold them at 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,345Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a brief cooling trend across central Spain early in August 2026, following an intense late-July heatwave, positioning 32–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s daily maximum on August 3. High-pressure dominance is expected to ease, allowing slightly cooler Atlantic-influenced air masses and reduced insolation, with ensemble guidance converging on highs near 32°C. This aligns with climatological patterns of early-month temperature declines averaging 1–2°C per week after peak summer conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes reflects trader confidence in the near-term model consensus, though small shifts in steering flow or local urban heat effects could still push readings to 35°C or hold them at 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,345Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a brief cooling trend across central Spain early in August 2026, following an intense late-July heatwave, positioning 32–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s daily maximum on August 3. High-pressure dominance is expected to ease, allowing slightly cooler Atlantic-influenced air masses and reduced insolation, with ensemble guidance converging on highs near 32°C. This aligns with climatological patterns of early-month temperature declines averaging 1–2°C per week after peak summer conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes reflects trader confidence in the near-term model consensus, though small shifts in steering flow or local urban heat effects could still push readings to 35°C or hold them at 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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