Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, with 40–90% rain chances from persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration around 28–30°C, reflecting climatological August averages near 31°C tempered by above-normal rainfall and humidity that historically caps daily highs. Recent model consensus and monsoon strengthening after Tropical Cyclone Luis have reinforced expectations for modest suppression of peak readings, though breaks in convection could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of widespread cloudiness against typical seasonal variability in steering patterns and localized heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 août ?
29°C 42%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
23%
29°C
42%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$236 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$349 Vol.
23%
29°C
$4,015 Vol.
42%
30°C
$609 Vol.
29%
31°C
$313 Vol.
5%
32°C
$124 Vol.
1%
33°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, with 40–90% rain chances from persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration around 28–30°C, reflecting climatological August averages near 31°C tempered by above-normal rainfall and humidity that historically caps daily highs. Recent model consensus and monsoon strengthening after Tropical Cyclone Luis have reinforced expectations for modest suppression of peak readings, though breaks in convection could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of widespread cloudiness against typical seasonal variability in steering patterns and localized heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,892Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, with 40–90% rain chances from persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration around 28–30°C, reflecting climatological August averages near 31°C tempered by above-normal rainfall and humidity that historically caps daily highs. Recent model consensus and monsoon strengthening after Tropical Cyclone Luis have reinforced expectations for modest suppression of peak readings, though breaks in convection could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of widespread cloudiness against typical seasonal variability in steering patterns and localized heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,892Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, with 40–90% rain chances from persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration around 28–30°C, reflecting climatological August averages near 31°C tempered by above-normal rainfall and humidity that historically caps daily highs. Recent model consensus and monsoon strengthening after Tropical Cyclone Luis have reinforced expectations for modest suppression of peak readings, though breaks in convection could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of widespread cloudiness against typical seasonal variability in steering patterns and localized heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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